Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Voluntary Foreclosures On The Rise?

Forbes reports:
  • To the distress of many banks and investors, American borrowers are increasingly viewing voluntary foreclosure as a practical financial decision, stripped of its taboo. Perhaps a bigger problem is that banks don't want to talk about the problem and they don't appear to know what to do about it. As long as it persists, there will be downward pressure on home prices, especially in overbuilt markets where the supply of housing already outstrips demand.

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  • In mid-April, Chief Risk Officer Don Truslow of Wachovia acknowledged the troubling trend during a conference call: "I don't know where the tipping point is, but somewhere when a borrower crosses the 100.0% loan-to-value, somewhere north of that . . . their propensity to just default and stop paying their mortgage rises dramatically and really accelerates up."

  • Even more disconcerting, Truslow added that the trend was "almost regardless" of borrowers' creditworthiness. Lender's are beginning to report that loan-to-value ratios are better indicators of the likelihood of default than borrowers' FICO scores, a widely used metric of creditworthiness developed by Fair, Isaac. (See "Subprime In Sheep's Clothing")
For more, see Deadbeat Homeowners Hit The Road.